Whether a computer can successfully impersonate a human
April 2002 (Long Now Foundation). Mitchell Kapor, founder of Lotus, opening his case in the Long Now Foundation wager against Ray Kurzweil over the Turing test by 2029, made in 2002. The $20,000 stakes go to the Electronic Frontier Foundation if Kapor wins.
Long Bet 1: By 2029 no computer will have passed the Turing Test (Kapor's Argument)
More from Mitchell Kapor · AI and philosophy · Before ChatGPT
Who else?
What it refers to: The Turing Test as set out in the bet, with human judges linked to a computer and a person solely through text by instant messaging.
Other voices
- “Deep Blue passed the Turing test” Charles Krauthammer,
- “2045” Ray Kurzweil, Researcher,
- “The Analytical Engine has no pretensions whatever to originate any thing” Ada Lovelace, Researcher,
- “You change yourself in order to make the agent look smart” Jaron Lanier, Researcher,
- “I challenge the claim that next-token prediction cannot surpass human performance” Ilya Sutskever, Builder,
- “No human understands any other human” Joseph Weizenbaum,










