About 47 percent of total US employment is at risk
Carl Benedikt Frey and Michael A. Osborne, 17 September 2013 (Oxford Martin School, University of Oxford). Oxford economist Frey and machine learning researcher Osborne estimate how likely 702 US occupations are to be computerised, in a working paper released by the Oxford Martin School in September
The Future of Employment: How Susceptible Are Jobs to Computerisation?
AI and jobs · AI and money · Before ChatGPT
Who else?
What it refers to: The share of total US employment estimated at risk of computerisation, based on probabilities for 702 detailed occupations from a Gaussian process classifier.
Other voices
- “AI keeps stubbornly refusing to take our jobs” Noah Smith,
- “We just don't need 20% doing the middle range of jobs in the U.S. anymore” Jesús Fernández-Villaverde,
- “We are being afflicted with a new disease” John Maynard Keynes,
- “The risk is the devaluation of expertise” David Autor, Researcher,
- “People should stop training radiologists now” Geoffrey Hinton, Researcher,
- “Racing with the machine beats racing against the machine” Erik Brynjolfsson,










